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Red50
368330.4
35608.1
685914.4
Blue21
808116.8
68648.6
2448.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423301001502002503003505021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.4
18.520.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
red by 13.6
8081
#13
16.81.3
12.511.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
6859
#10
14.41.4
8.610.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End1.0
red by 5.7
6864
#12
8.61.3
11.09.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Third
3560
#16
8.11.4
10.011.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Level
244
#24
8.10.8
7.66.8
Auto1.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed