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Red86
491722.2
87656.5
490729.4
Blue16
97826.6
40157.3
959211.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492104060808616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.7
18.419.1
Auto13.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 17.5
9592
#14
11.81.3
7.28.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Second
22.20.7
14.014.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 14.9
4015
#18
7.30.4
6.66.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
8765
#15
6.50.7
8.79.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 0.1
9782
#20
6.60.7
6.25.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed