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Red32
21621.7
702213.9
77222.5
Blue6
76907.0
87896.5
587012.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4929020406080100120326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#11
21.70.7
23.322.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 9.0
12.72.5
9.67.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Second
7022
#17
13.91.1
9.38.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 6.9
7690
#27
7.02.5
9.97.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Third
7722
#25
2.51.1
9.28.1
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
blue by 4.1
8789
#21
6.52.5
8.76.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed