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Red66
808116.8
958016.6
491722.2
Blue58
40157.3
76907.0
368330.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5537020801001206658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.8
19.920.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 8.2
30.41.2
27.929.1
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
Second
8081
#13
16.80.8
14.415.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 9.4
4015
#18
7.30.8
4.14.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
16.60.6
13.313.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
red by 9.6
7690
#27
7.01.2
3.64.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed