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Red42
2448.1
587012.7
270219.0
Blue64
959211.8
132530.1
50317.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334502060801001204264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.9
17.718.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.5
blue by 11.1
30.11.5
26.928.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.8
End1.7
Second
12.71.0
8.69.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 0.9
9592
#14
11.82.2
10.012.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Third
244
#24
8.10.7
5.36.0
Auto1.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 1.0
5031
#22
7.11.5
2.43.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed