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Red38
35608.1
21621.7
491722.2
Blue34
958016.6
54087.2
77222.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6022040801003834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.0
20.719.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 5.6
16.60.6
13.914.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Second
216
#11
21.70.8
21.020.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 14.5
5408
#26
7.20.8
6.47.3
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Third
3560
#16
8.11.0
7.76.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 5.6
7722
#25
2.50.8
4.25.1
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed