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Red36
40157.3
808116.8
95255.9
Blue73
490729.4
368330.4
587012.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2380040601001201403673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8081
#13
16.80.7
15.316.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 13.6
30.40.2
29.129.2
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
Second
4015
#18
7.30.5
4.95.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 22.0
29.40.2
27.327.5
Auto13.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Third
9525
#23
5.90.7
7.98.6
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 6.8
12.70.2
9.69.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed