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Red50
28819.2
50317.1
21621.7
Blue50
685914.4
958016.6
270219.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553204060801005050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#11
21.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 2.7
19.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Second
288
#7
19.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End1.2
red by 2.6
16.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Third
5031
#22
7.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 7.3
6859
#10
14.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed