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Red63
587012.7
87656.5
132530.1
Blue25
77222.5
95255.9
368330.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50470204060801001201406325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.9
28.429.3
Auto8.5
Teleop19.8
End1.7
blue by 0.3
30.42.3
29.227.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
Second
12.71.1
9.810.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 6.8
9525
#23
5.92.3
8.66.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
8765
#15
6.51.1
6.47.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
red by 4.0
7722
#25
2.52.3
5.12.8
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed