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Red16
87656.5
54087.2
468813.3
Blue63
2448.1
491722.2
97826.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323702060801001201663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4688
#19
13.31.0
14.213.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.0
blue by 8.9
22.21.1
20.922.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
5408
#26
7.21.0
8.07.0
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 0.9
244
#24
8.11.0
6.67.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Third
8765
#15
6.51.0
7.56.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 0.1
9782
#20
6.61.1
5.76.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned