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Red75
21621.7
587012.7
909827.4
Blue37
959211.8
76907.0
808116.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68330204060801001207537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.2
26.027.2
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End2.9
red by 10.6
8081
#13
16.80.2
16.216.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
216
#11
21.71.2
20.221.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 9.9
9592
#14
11.80.2
11.211.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Third
12.71.3
10.912.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 5.7
7690
#27
7.00.2
6.36.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed