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Red44
68648.6
702213.9
76907.0
Blue56
959211.8
808116.8
28819.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28550204060801004456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7022
#17
13.90.3
13.613.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 5.3
288
#7
19.20.2
18.718.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End1.2
Second
6864
#12
8.60.3
8.38.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.5
End0.6
blue by 8.1
8081
#13
16.80.2
16.316.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
7690
#27
7.00.3
6.67.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End0.7
blue by 4.8
9592
#14
11.80.2
11.311.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4