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Red42
40157.3
21621.7
87896.5
Blue39
468813.3
685914.4
77222.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393302060804239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#11
21.70.2
21.421.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 7.3
6859
#10
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Second
4015
#18
7.30.2
7.07.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 6.0
4688
#19
13.30.0
13.413.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Third
8789
#21
6.50.2
6.26.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End1.9
red by 4.1
7722
#25
2.50.0
2.52.5
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8