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Red134
205659.5
978523.4
467837.1
Blue42
124122.3
494636.8
373923.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139885010015020013442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
red by 22.6
36.81.1
37.936.8
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Second
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
red by 13.8
3739
#44
23.41.1
24.423.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
Third
9785
#33
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 1.1
1241
#32
22.31.1
23.422.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1