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Red92
205659.5
978523.4
467837.1
Blue64
124122.3
494636.8
373923.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142904060801001201601802009264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.8
60.359.5
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
red by 22.6
36.80.6
38.637.9
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Second
37.10.8
37.937.1
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
red by 13.8
3739
#44
23.40.6
25.124.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
Third
9785
#33
23.40.8
24.223.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 1.1
1241
#32
22.30.6
24.123.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1