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Red73
720018.5
771224.0
540630.8
Blue95
124122.3
494636.8
373923.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799940601201401601807395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.2
31.130.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
blue by 6.0
36.80.1
38.438.6
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Second
24.00.2
24.224.0
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 0.6
3739
#44
23.40.1
24.925.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
Third
7200
#26
18.50.2
18.818.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 3.8
1241
#32
22.30.1
23.924.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1