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Red60
373923.4
124122.3
375616.6
Blue64
111430.9
720018.5
965913.4
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656345505560707580856064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#44
23.40.1
19.920.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
blue by 7.5
1114
#14
30.90.5
25.926.3
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Second
1241
#32
22.30.1
23.623.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1
red by 3.8
7200
#26
18.50.5
20.220.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Third
3756
#36
16.60.1
15.115.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 3.2
9659
#21
13.40.5
11.011.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed