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Red54
503111.4
270811.4
270224.5
Blue39
614016.2
720018.5
503216.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455702040801005439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#45
24.50.8
21.622.4
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
red by 5.9
7200
#26
18.51.1
20.719.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Second
5031
#34
11.40.8
8.89.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 4.8
6140
#18
16.21.1
13.512.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Third
2708
#40
11.40.8
11.912.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 4.7
5032
#24
16.01.1
16.014.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed