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Red105
494636.8
497634.7
78125.0
Blue70
587010.1
467837.1
97827.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98502040608012014016010570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.5
35.336.8
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 0.3
37.11.3
35.136.3
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
Second
4976
#16
34.71.5
26.327.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
red by 24.6
5870
#48
10.11.3
10.411.7
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Third
781
#27
25.01.5
21.122.6
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 17.8
9782
#28
7.21.3
5.77.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned64%Ensemble oddsEarned