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Red40
468817.3
685410.6
434326.2
Blue75
748016.7
888425.6
375616.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51670204060801001204075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#22
26.20.9
25.124.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
red by 0.6
8884
#13
25.60.8
23.924.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Second
4688
#23
17.30.9
14.613.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 0.6
7480
#49
16.70.8
19.420.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Third
6854
#38
10.60.9
8.57.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 5.9
3756
#36
16.60.8
15.216.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned