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Red98
205659.5
285220.4
503111.4
Blue82
86529.3
965913.4
705821.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97572040801201401609882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.7
57.358.0
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
red by 30.2
865
#12
29.31.4
25.326.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Second
2852
#37
20.40.7
15.816.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 0.9
7058
#41
21.21.4
20.021.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Third
5031
#34
11.40.7
9.610.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 2.0
9659
#21
13.41.4
11.212.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed