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Red52
720018.5
540630.8
926216.2
Blue46
238627.3
702219.0
713616.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080905246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.7
29.227.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
red by 3.5
2386
#11
27.31.6
26.324.7
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Second
7200
#26
18.51.7
19.617.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 0.5
7022
#50
19.01.6
17.816.2
Auto9.7
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
9262
#10
16.21.7
13.812.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 0.1
7136
#30
16.01.6
19.117.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed