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Red70
375616.6
368337.9
685410.6
Blue56
747514.3
136021.3
270224.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70562040801001207056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.5
38.338.8
Auto15.7
Teleop19.3
End2.9
red by 13.4
2702
#45
24.50.4
22.421.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Second
3756
#36
16.60.5
16.016.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 4.7
1360
#17
21.30.4
18.918.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
6854
#38
10.60.5
7.78.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 3.6
7475
#35
14.30.4
11.310.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed