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Red49
97827.2
686414.4
888425.6
Blue57
434326.2
771224.0
962111.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801004957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8884
#13
25.60.6
24.725.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 0.6
4343
#22
26.20.4
24.223.8
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
Second
6864
#46
14.40.6
8.89.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 9.5
24.00.4
18.718.3
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
9782
#28
7.20.6
7.07.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
9621
#25
11.40.4
10.19.7
Auto6.1
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned