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Red51
978523.4
78125.0
583412.2
Blue53
293526.7
748016.7
468817.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586602040801001201401605153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#27
25.00.3
22.622.3
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 1.7
26.70.4
24.724.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1
Second
9785
#33
23.40.3
22.622.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 6.1
4688
#23
17.30.4
13.713.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Third
5834
#29
12.20.3
8.07.8
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
7480
#49
16.70.4
20.219.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed