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Red66
808922.4
567212.9
494636.8
Blue75
130529.3
614016.2
878911.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82502040601001201406675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.3
36.836.5
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
red by 7.6
29.31.7
26.027.7
Auto11.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Second
8089
#31
22.40.3
20.019.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
red by 6.2
6140
#18
16.21.7
12.414.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Third
5672
#43
12.90.3
13.413.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
8789
#39
11.91.7
10.712.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed