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Red68
220038.5
76038.3
111430.9
Blue59
497634.7
687512.4
587010.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8752204060801001206859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.5
37.937.5
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
red by 3.8
4976
#16
34.70.5
27.828.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Second
1114
#14
30.90.5
26.726.2
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
red by 18.4
6875
#42
12.40.5
12.012.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
Third
7603
#47
8.30.5
10.29.7
Auto5.3
Teleop0.9
End2.1
blue by 1.8
5870
#48
10.10.5
11.712.2
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed