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Red83
130529.3
293526.7
238627.3
Blue73
434326.2
878911.9
497634.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87694060801001201408373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.1
27.727.8
Auto11.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 5.4
4976
#16
34.70.2
28.328.5
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Second
2386
#11
27.30.1
24.724.8
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End1.9
red by 1.1
4343
#22
26.20.2
23.824.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
Third
26.70.1
24.424.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1
red by 14.8
8789
#39
11.90.2
12.512.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed