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Red133
888425.6
205659.5
540630.8
Blue67
686414.4
687512.4
111430.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13541010015020013367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.51.5
58.059.5
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
red by 28.6
1114
#14
30.91.3
26.227.5
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Second
30.81.5
27.529.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
red by 16.4
6864
#46
14.41.3
9.410.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
8884
#13
25.61.5
25.326.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 13.1
6875
#42
12.41.3
12.513.7
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed