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Red61
260920.2
587010.1
583412.2
Blue49
713616.0
978523.4
965913.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4061020801006149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#15
20.21.5
18.720.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 3.2
9785
#33
23.41.2
22.421.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
5834
#29
12.21.5
7.89.2
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 3.9
7136
#30
16.01.2
17.516.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Third
5870
#48
10.11.5
12.213.7
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 3.3
9659
#21
13.41.2
12.611.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned