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Red56
962111.4
614016.2
220038.5
Blue50
375616.6
78125.0
76038.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7051204060801001205650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.4
37.536.1
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
red by 13.5
781
#27
25.00.1
22.322.4
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
6140
#18
16.21.4
14.112.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 0.4
3756
#36
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
9621
#25
11.41.4
9.78.3
Auto6.1
Teleop3.1
End2.2
red by 3.0
7603
#47
8.30.1
9.79.8
Auto5.3
Teleop0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed