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Red46
685410.6
748016.7
808125.4
Blue74
567212.9
467837.1
503111.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5167204060801001204674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8081
#19
25.40.1
20.820.7
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
blue by 11.7
37.10.3
35.935.5
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
Second
7480
#49
16.70.1
19.519.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
red by 3.9
5672
#43
12.90.3
13.112.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
6854
#38
10.60.1
7.87.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 0.7
5031
#34
11.40.3
10.09.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed