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Red68
503216.0
702219.0
494636.8
Blue79
888425.6
434326.2
705821.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70832040601001206879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.1
34.935.0
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
red by 10.6
4343
#22
26.20.4
24.024.4
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
Second
7022
#50
19.00.1
15.015.1
Auto9.7
Teleop7.3
End2.0
blue by 6.6
8884
#13
25.60.4
26.727.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Third
5032
#24
16.00.1
14.514.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 5.2
7058
#41
21.20.4
22.522.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed