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Red84
965913.4
260920.2
808922.4
Blue64
111430.9
713616.0
285220.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54680204060801008464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#31
22.41.5
19.220.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
blue by 8.5
1114
#14
30.90.3
27.527.8
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Second
2609
#15
20.21.5
20.221.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 0.1
2852
#37
20.40.3
16.016.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
9659
#21
13.41.5
11.412.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 2.6
7136
#30
16.00.3
16.216.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed