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Red40
747514.3
375616.6
686414.4
Blue50
583412.2
124122.3
614016.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801001204050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3756
#36
16.60.2
16.616.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 5.7
1241
#32
22.30.4
21.321.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1
Second
6864
#46
14.40.2
10.710.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 1.7
6140
#18
16.20.4
12.813.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Third
7475
#35
14.30.2
10.510.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
red by 2.1
5834
#29
12.20.4
9.29.7
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed