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Red48
587010.1
130529.3
748016.7
Blue155
270224.5
205659.5
368337.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53148010020048155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.8
27.526.8
Auto11.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 30.2
59.51.8
60.962.7
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
Second
7480
#49
16.70.8
19.418.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 21.2
37.91.8
38.640.4
Auto15.7
Teleop19.3
End2.9
Third
5870
#48
10.10.8
12.411.7
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 14.4
2702
#45
24.51.8
23.124.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned