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Red83
503216.0
375616.6
497634.7
Blue85
78125.0
808922.4
771224.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65704060801001208385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#16
34.71.6
28.329.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
red by 9.7
781
#27
25.01.1
22.924.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
3756
#36
16.61.6
16.718.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 7.4
24.01.1
19.120.3
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
5032
#24
16.01.6
14.616.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 6.3
8089
#31
22.41.1
20.821.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned