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Red50
270811.4
220038.5
720018.5
Blue72
540630.8
583412.2
494636.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66842040601001205072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.1
34.933.7
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
red by 1.6
36.80.9
35.034.1
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Second
7200
#26
18.51.1
17.716.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 12.3
30.80.9
29.328.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
Third
2708
#40
11.41.1
9.58.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 0.8
5834
#29
12.20.9
9.78.8
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned