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Red45
705821.2
686414.4
567212.9
Blue63
687512.4
238627.3
77221.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506102040801001201404563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7058
#41
21.20.3
22.922.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
blue by 6.0
2386
#11
27.30.5
23.524.0
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Second
6864
#46
14.40.3
10.810.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 7.5
772
#20
21.90.5
16.717.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
5672
#43
12.90.3
13.213.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.4
6875
#42
12.40.5
13.714.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed