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Red33
771224.0
748016.7
686414.4
Blue51
587010.1
293526.7
76038.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555202040801003351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.1
20.319.2
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 2.8
26.70.2
25.325.5
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1
Second
7480
#49
16.71.1
18.617.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
red by 6.7
5870
#48
10.10.2
11.711.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Third
6864
#46
14.41.1
10.59.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 6.1
7603
#47
8.30.2
10.710.9
Auto5.3
Teleop0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed