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Red50
270224.5
713616.0
567212.9
Blue71
124122.3
962111.4
497634.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586702040801001205071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#45
24.50.2
24.924.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
blue by 10.2
4976
#16
34.70.4
29.930.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Second
7136
#30
16.00.2
15.415.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 6.3
1241
#32
22.30.4
20.621.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1
Third
5672
#43
12.90.2
13.012.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 1.5
9621
#25
11.40.4
9.19.5
Auto6.1
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed