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Red41
77221.9
583412.2
685410.6
Blue81
220038.5
97827.2
808125.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337602040601001204181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#20
21.90.3
18.217.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 16.6
38.50.5
37.538.0
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
Second
5834
#29
12.20.3
8.28.0
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 13.2
8081
#19
25.40.5
20.721.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
Third
6854
#38
10.60.3
8.88.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
red by 3.4
9782
#28
7.20.5
5.25.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed