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Red95
497634.7
368337.9
260920.2
Blue75
686414.4
86529.3
434326.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103602040801201401609575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.2
39.339.1
Auto15.7
Teleop19.3
End2.9
red by 8.6
865
#12
29.30.4
26.126.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Second
4976
#16
34.70.2
26.526.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
red by 8.5
4343
#22
26.20.4
24.725.1
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
Third
2609
#15
20.20.2
22.021.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 5.8
6864
#46
14.40.4
8.69.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned