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Red62
888425.6
587010.1
808922.4
Blue70
926216.2
705821.2
467837.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597920401001206270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8884
#13
25.60.4
24.323.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 11.5
37.10.1
35.035.1
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
Second
8089
#31
22.40.4
20.920.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
red by 1.1
7058
#41
21.20.1
20.120.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Third
5870
#48
10.10.4
10.810.4
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 6.1
9262
#10
16.20.1
13.813.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned