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Red67
808922.4
747514.3
270811.4
Blue61
748016.7
978523.4
687512.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801001206761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#31
22.41.7
20.722.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
blue by 1.0
9785
#33
23.40.1
22.021.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
7475
#35
14.31.7
9.911.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
blue by 2.5
7480
#49
16.70.1
17.517.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Third
2708
#40
11.41.7
9.411.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 1.1
6875
#42
12.40.1
13.713.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed