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Red71
713616.0
926216.2
494636.8
Blue65
293526.7
686414.4
685410.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684402060801001201407165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.8
31.932.8
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
red by 10.1
26.71.2
25.526.7
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1
Second
9262
#10
16.20.8
11.312.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 1.7
6864
#46
14.41.2
9.410.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
7136
#30
16.00.8
15.216.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 5.4
6854
#38
10.61.2
7.48.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed