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Red67
111430.9
771224.0
503111.4
Blue48
962111.4
270224.5
583412.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67460204060801001206748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#14
30.90.6
28.829.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
red by 6.4
2702
#45
24.50.3
24.725.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Second
24.00.6
19.219.8
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 11.8
5834
#29
12.20.3
9.810.0
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
Third
5031
#34
11.40.6
10.010.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Level
9621
#25
11.40.3
9.59.8
Auto6.1
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed