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Red63
540630.8
503111.4
962111.4
Blue85
467837.1
238627.3
260920.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49990204060801201401606385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.8
29.830.7
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
blue by 6.3
37.10.5
36.836.3
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
Second
5031
#34
11.40.8
10.611.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 15.9
2386
#11
27.30.5
26.125.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Third
9621
#25
11.40.8
9.810.7
Auto6.1
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 8.9
2609
#15
20.20.5
20.319.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned77%Ensemble oddsEarned