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Red78
434326.2
111430.9
136021.3
Blue115
205659.5
86529.3
747514.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74117406010014016018078115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#14
30.90.1
29.429.3
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
blue by 28.6
59.51.0
62.363.3
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
Second
4343
#22
26.20.1
25.425.3
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
blue by 3.1
865
#12
29.31.0
26.727.6
Auto12.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Third
1360
#17
21.30.1
17.517.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 7.0
7475
#35
14.31.0
11.512.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed