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Red36
567212.9
97827.2
965913.4
Blue56
270224.5
720018.5
76038.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562020801001203656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9659
#21
13.40.1
14.914.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 11.1
2702
#45
24.50.1
25.024.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Second
5672
#43
12.90.1
12.712.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 5.7
7200
#26
18.50.1
17.016.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Third
9782
#28
7.20.1
7.77.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 1.1
7603
#47
8.30.1
11.110.9
Auto5.3
Teleop0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed